CASE STUDY TWO: “Three children? No way”: Young Chinese Adults’ Fertility Attitudes

Background

In 2021, China’s birth rate reached an all-time low. As the birth rate declines and life expectancy increases, worker shortages limit economic growth and reduce tax revenue required to maintain an elderly population. As a result, China eased its one-child policy to three-child in 2021. However, the extent to which such policy changes will have an effect is unknown. 

Research Questions:

  1. Why some fertility desires are realized and others are not? 
  2. How do young people feel about falling short of their fertility desires?



Study Design

I conducted 42 remote 1:1 interviews with Chinese young adults aged 20-35, and utilized NVivo to code the interviews.

42 Chinese Young Adults

Findings & Implications

  • Lifestyle:
    • People with a stable jobs in mega cities tend to have untranslated fertility
    • People live close to their parents or in-laws tend to be more open to the idea of having another child
  • Experience:
    • People growing up as the only child tend to prefer to have one child
    • People with smooth first child experience tend to plan for one more child
  • Concerns:
    • Childcare availability, financial burden, career advancement are the main concerns 
    • The ability to raise the kids to become “good people”
  • Policy Implications:
    • The further relaxation of three-child policy does not have an impact on people’s fertility attitudes
    • Helpful policies should include avoiding workplace gender discrimination, longer parental leave, childcare benefits, and education benefits